It's the final match of Round 3 of IPL Boundary Blackjack and there's no reason to think that it won't be another high scoring affair!

So far this round we've had scores across the 6 games of between 49 and 64 boundaries. Based on the experiences of the first 2 rounds our players have tended to go on the conservative side to avoid going bust and indeed only 1 player has recorded a bust this round.

However, it does mean a significant number of points have been left on the board. In total 334 boundaries have been struck in this round meaning that on average, even the top predictors are leaving the best part of 10 points unclaimed per match!

Will that trend continue? Could we get to 400 boundaries for the round? Let's look at the stats...

Rajasthan Royals are flying with 4 wins from 4 and up against an SRH side whose only win to date has come against bottom team KKR. On paper then you'd expect the Royals to make it 5 in a row.

However, we've been here before with this RR side in recent years. They make a really strong start then fall away in the middle period and are left scrambling to even reach the playoffs let alone the final. Is this team going to be any different?

There are some worrying similarities between those past campaigns and this one. Firstly, it's the reliance on the top 3 to get runs. In previous years that's been Buttler, Samson and Jaiswal this year it's Suryavanshi, Jurel and Jaiswal.

Having a strong top 3 is a must for any side but you do need batsmen after that who can build on the starts or step up when early wickets fall. At the moment, RR don't have that.

The aforementioned top 3 have faced 75, 97 and 112 balls respectively. The remainder of the team have between them faced just 83 balls and scored 11 boundaries compared to the top 3 who have scored 90 across the 4 games so far!

Of course SRH are not so very different themselves. Their top 3 can be as destructive as the Royal's but they've not quite found the same consistency.

Abhishek Sharma and Travis Head go them off to an absolute flyer in the last game against PBKS only for them to both be dismissed in the same over by part-time bowler Shashank Singh, a guy who had only taken 1 wicket in his previous 44 IPL appearances prior to that.

RR will undoudtedly have taken note and I would guess we'll see Riyan Parag who did something similar in the GT game earlier this season, have an early bowl if the Royals pace attack don't get the initial breakthrough.

The other thing to love about this Rajasthan side is that pace attack. Archer and Burger are bowling fast hostile opening spells with the aim of taking wickets and to date it's worked.

This SRH top order will be very happy to fight fire with fire and you only have to cast your mind back to last season when SRH scored 286 against RR to see what might be possible. Jofra Archer finished that game with the eye watering figures of 4 overs 0 for 76 - ouch! The Sunrisers hit 46 boundaries themselves with Rajasthan, giving as good a chase as can be expected, managing a further 35.

Could we see something similar today?

Both teams certainly have the firepower and the SRH bowling attack is struggling at the moment to contain the opposition as witnessed once again in their defeat on Saturday.

Pat Cummins, the natural leader of their attack has gone back to Australia and is still waiting for the all clear to begin his IPL 2026 campaign. In his absence SRH have struggled to get back into games once opposition batters are on the front foot.

In the 3 games they've lost to date, they taken just 2 powerplay wickets and without that real quality spinner (a problem they've faced for sometime) they are consistently conceeding above average scores and heaping pressure on their batsmen to go really big!

A superb opening spell from former Orange Army man Mohammed Shami curtailed the scoring in the last match played here but the stats and recent history described above show that this is a venue where some truly huge totals can be scored.

IPL Boundary Blackjack Round 3

This final match is a bit like the last few holes of the Masters yesterday.

@uwelang needs to hold his nerve and potentially 2 putt his way to glory while everyone else needs to throw caution to the wind. @sportsgeek and @shitsignals are ready to pounce if there is a slip up from the man who's been leading from the start.

At the same time those 2 are looking over their shoulder at a group of 3 players who are still in with a genuine shout of a podium finish if they can nail their prediction and others make an error. Outside of that, it's looking like Project Hail Mary without the movie rights deal in place...

Position	Player	Points	Hits	Busts
1	@uwelang	278	6	0
2	@sportsgeek	269	6	0
3	@shitsignals	268	6	0
4	@blockchainfpl	251	6	0
5	@fullcoverbetting	246	6	0
6	@wildlifelover	241	6	0
7	@bitandi	228	6	0
8	@r1c4rd0	223	6	0
9	@talesfrmthecrypt	220	5	0
10	@imfarhad	210	6	0
11	@doombot75	163	4	0
12	@rajpootg	153	4	0
13	@valentin86	136	3	2
14	@hatdogsensei	133	4	0
15	@onemanonewrite	130	4	0
16	@blanchy	124	4	0
17	@tortangkahoy	108	4	0
18	@shebe	96	3	0
19	@reiseamateur	91	2	0